Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1243.445999 1419.185403 1616.800379 1856.613837 2141.279182 2470.257311 2881.916383
2025-06-29 949.547974 1169.066149 1440.235387 1804.300031 2287.151625 2915.451918 3811.457357
2025-07-06 784.997157 1011.952089 1309.013192 1734.246574 2340.701219 3195.868149 4533.132245
2025-07-13 715.289640 959.210366 1294.919679 1803.584126 2578.445854 3756.044585 5768.248717
2025-07-20 649.623260 899.508640 1257.870830 1827.239416 2744.661323 4233.026779 6987.148538
2025-07-27 596.393711 849.020363 1224.554042 1846.830713 2901.612111 4718.998069 8345.462432
2025-08-03 550.745597 803.374707 1191.034143 1858.115727 3042.331864 5200.246872 9827.637449
2025-08-10 522.523932 780.566563 1189.098963 1919.046701 3276.918341 5898.387246 11964.791848
2025-08-17 495.864180 756.877065 1182.045462 1968.553319 3497.184019 6615.592162 14391.206170
2025-08-24 468.868496 729.581525 1165.265570 1997.066079 3680.373205 7296.643526 16985.057663
2025-08-31 442.940121 701.368940 1143.423263 2012.278383 3838.117068 7957.922254 19793.463534
2025-09-07 423.858413 682.913227 1136.496456 2054.592434 4059.799810 8821.435048 23558.322523
2025-09-14 389.624139 635.791482 1074.270094 1981.359064 4020.736392 9055.660270 25569.206410
2025-09-21 360.105076 594.831549 1019.893197 1918.014792 3995.279808 9325.424711 27863.566096
2025-09-28 332.279621 554.732188 963.426754 1843.191894 3929.882018 9473.161304 29817.549254
2025-10-05 324.557135 550.796509 975.853073 1917.839528 4242.725445 10771.760680 36945.185528
2025-10-12 311.939396 536.621976 966.687945 1943.345122 4436.671328 11783.549623 43641.374359
2025-10-19 299.878412 522.518816 956.252284 1964.467032 4623.669206 12837.228998 51381.534420
2025-10-26 287.891456 507.622147 942.768675 1976.635849 4789.127449 13879.157260 60002.014152
2025-11-02 281.615805 503.416738 951.108617 2042.359583 5121.579399 15631.606280 74376.889881
2025-11-09 274.564235 497.091785 954.282545 2095.786271 5430.698724 17429.713347 91299.345717
2025-11-16 266.080633 487.220360 948.820158 2126.567109 5678.074634 19096.239168 109697.545203
2025-11-23 257.041790 475.559923 938.358557 2142.992554 5884.361732 20688.804284 130077.530043